The macro regime that moves crypto.
When dollars get strong and yields rise, crypto bleeds — that's not opinion, it's the last 4 years on a chart. This page scores the regime live so you don't trade blind. Updated every 30 seconds.
Each input is normalized and weighted. Positive contribution = pushes the score toward risk-off. Negative = pulls toward risk-on. The math is in the open — see /api/macro/regime.
Where retail crypto sits emotionally — not in the regime score (it's a coincident, not a leading, indicator) but useful context. Below 25 = extreme fear (historically a buy zone). Above 75 = extreme greed (historically a sell zone).
Total AUM across all spot BTC and ETH ETFs, ranked by issuer. Daily net flows compute from snapshot deltas — they go live once we have 2+ days of history. The first ETF flow signals appear within 24h.
Pick a series. Daily closes from Yahoo Finance, stored in our Postgres, refreshed each US close.
Score < 45 · RISK-ON
Dollar weak, yields stable or falling, vol compressed. Crypto longs work, mean-reversion bots fire on entry signals, fade bots stay quiet. This is the regime where ETH_BTC_MAGNET v1/v2 historically prints.
Score 45–55 · NEUTRAL
No strong macro tailwind or headwind. Strategy edge wins or loses on its own merit. This is the boring middle — and where most discretionary traders fool themselves into trading too much.
Score 55–75 · RISK-OFF
Dollar bidding, yields climbing, or vol building. Crypto longs underperform their backtest, shorts overperform. Fade variants of BTC-Magnet shine. The first 19 bps move on US10Y is your tell.
Score > 75 · STRONG RISK-OFF
Three signals aligned: dollar +2σ, yields +50bps/5d, VIX above 25. Capitulation territory for crypto. Don't catch the knife. Fade longs, hold cash, wait for the macro pivot before going net long again.